Wednesday, December 2, 2020

2022 MLB Home Run Derby Odds, Picks, Predictions: Best Bets for Pete Alonso, Juan Soto and More at Dodger Stadium

He owns two career homers that have traveled 490-plus feet, including a 495-footer on July 20, 2018, that is tied for fifth longest in the Statcast era. Since 2017, Gallo’s 51 homers of 110-plus mph rank second in MLB behind the Yankees' Giancarlo Stanton, while his 16 homers of 450-plus feet are tied with Stanton for the most. Gallo is also tied for first with eight moonshots struck with a launch angle of 40-plus degrees. Alonso is going for an unprecedented third consecutive home run derby title. If he does, Soto has the power to take him out, in addition to Dodger Stadium being slightly more favorable to left-handed hitters. At +650, the value lies with Soto in that matchup compared to Alonso, whose best line is +200 is on DraftKings.

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For almost four decades, the MLB’s most talented hitters have competed in baseball’s Home Run Derby. Dodger Stadium is hosting the Home Run Derby on Monday, baseball's annual jewel event held the night before the All-Star Game. Roberts has worked in the Las Vegas sportsbook industry for 20-plus years, including a 13-year run as Station Casinos' book director.

Julio Rodriguez

The player with the most home runs in the first round matched up against the player with the fourth most. The format meant that a player could have the second-most home runs total, as well as in the second round, and fail to reach the final. In 1991, the number of outs was expanded to 10, but the team competition format remained.

It differs from a home run hit during legal gameplay in that the batter is not competing against a pitcher and a defensive team attempting to make an out. In the Home Run Derby, all pitches are purposefully thrown slowly and at a closer range than the official 60 feet 6 inches (18.44 m) distance, usually by a coach behind a pitching screen. In addition, like batting practice, the batter remains in the batter's box after each swing, and does not run, nor circle the bases to score a run. Once again, Mancini looked comfortable, drilling eight homers in the first minute, including a 490-foot drive that secured one minute of bonus time.

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Larry King hosted the broadcast with Craig Sager and Pete Van Wieren handling interviews. The broadcast's big draw would have been the Home Run Derby, which TBS intended on taping during the afternoon, and later airing it in prime time during the Gala coverage. Unfortunately, the derby and a skills competition were canceled due to rain. For the first time in Derby history, Shohei Ohtani became both the first pitcher and the first Japanese player to participate in 2021. The event has grown significantly from its roots in the 1980s, when it was not televised. Prior to 1991, the Home Run Derby was structured as a two-inning event with each player receiving five outs per inning, allowing for the possibility of ties.

He also participated in 2019, the season he nearly joined the club with 41 homers and 37 stolen bases. Acuña won his first-round Derby matchup against Josh Bell, 25-18, but lost to the eventual champion -- and fellow 2022 competitor -- Alonso, 20-19, in the semifinals. His 495-foot home run on Sept. 25, 2020, is tied for the sixth-longest homer of the Statcast era, and is the longest home run hit by any of this year's Derby participants under Statcast tracking . Acuña's average home run distance this season, 437 feet, also leads the Majors by a full 10 feet -- over two Rockies, Ryan McMahon and C.J.

Home Run Derby Head-to-Head Matchups (Best Bets to Advance Past Round

Seager already has 22 home runs -- the most he’s had in a single season coming into the year was 26 during his rookie season in 2016. The Rangers shortstop has been red-hot in July, with seven home runs -- tied for second-most in baseball -- including a streak of five consecutive games with a homer. Knowing he didn’t need to put up a massive total, Mancini looked comfortable as he swung his way to seven homers across his first minute and 21 seconds before calling time. Mancini translated his straightaway center power to homers across the first portion but came out sluggish out of his timeout. Still, he hit his 12th homer to tie Story with 30 seconds remaining and then knocked the go-ahead blast with 23 seconds left, carrying his remarkable comeback story into the finals.

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The multiround format that is currently in place was instituted in 1995, when the event shifted from a team-based to an individual competition. The field remained split evenly between AL and NL players, though there have been exceptions to that -- most notably in 2005, when the field was set with eight players representing eight different countries. If two or more players are tied for advancement into the next round or for the championship, each player will receive three swings to hit as many home runs as possible. If they are still tied after three swings, they will each take one swing. This process is repeated if necessary until one player wins the swing-off. The 21-year-old phenom put together one of the most impressive rounds in Home Run Derby history, finishing with 32 home runs.

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In case of a tie, the contestants get one additional minute. If there still is a tie, each contestant gets three swings, and repeats on ties thereafter. • While Guerrero may have made the biggest impression in the 2019 Derby, it was Alonso who walked away with the trophy (and the $1 million prize). He did it by launching 57 total homers , including 20 in a semifinal victory over Ronald Acuña Jr. and 23 in the final showdown with Guerrero. Alonso earned bonus time in all three rounds by hitting at least three homers 440-plus feet, but he never actually needed it -- walking off his opponent before the end of regulation. • Even with a slow start, Seager is well on his way to setting a career-high in home runs this season.

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In 2008, Josh Hamilton made Home Run Derby history at Yankee Stadium, hitting a record 28 home runs, including 13 consecutive at one point. With totals reset for the final, Hamilton lost out to Minnesota's Justin Morneau. Hamilton's 35 total home runs hit during the event are still the second-most in Home Run Derby history. In 2019, Alonso took down Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in an epic derby battle by blasting a total of 57 long balls in Cleveland.

Rodríguez does not have the usual features of a live ‘dog. In addition, he has a hard hit rate over 50% and an average exit velocity of nearly 92 mph. All of this has contributed to his 16 homers over 90 games. He went deep six times in extras, going 503 and 505 feet on the last two fence-clearers, but that stillwasn’t enough; he and Soto were tied at 28 homers, and a three-swing swing-off was needed.

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The left-handed batter has pulled about two-thirds of his career homers. • Even with the pandemic-shortened 2020 and a couple of injuries, Soto is the 18th player in AL or NL history to hit at least 80 home runs by the end of his age-22 season. If Soto can hit 10 more after the break, he will be just the 11th to reach 90 by that point. • Soto has hit the longest Home Run Derby home run ever tracked -- a 520-foot shot at Coors Field last year that set a new record for the Statcast era. Soto surpassed Aaron Judge's 513-foot home run at Marlins Park in 2017, which was the longest entering the 2021 Derby. • Pujols has the most big league home runs of any Derby participant.

He’s posted a hard-hit rate (95+ mph) of just over 50%, ranking in the 94th percentile of MLB, and an average exit velocity of 91.9 mph, in the 91st percentile. • Rodríguez is looking to join some rare rookie territory, as the only first-year players who’ve won the Home Run Derby outright are the Yankees’ Aaron Judge in 2017 and the Mets’ Pete Alonso in 2019. He’ll become the 14th rookie to participate in the contest. At 21 years, 201 days old on Monday, Rodríguez will be the fourth-youngest Derby participant and could become the youngest winner.

However, a tiebreaker was put in place to determine an individual champion, and it was first used in 1993 when Juan Gonzalez defeated Ken Griffey Jr. in a playoff. Griffey Jr. won the title the following season, the first of his three Home Run Derby championships . The American League won the final team championship that year, finishing with five titles to the NL's four.

Home Run Derby odds, picks, predictions, participants: Top MLB expert fading Pete Alonso

Each player was given 2 "innings" to hit as many home runs as possible before reaching 5 outs. For the derby, an out is defined as any swing that is not a home run. The winner of the contest was the player with the most total home runs in the two innings. Some notable performances in the Derby include Bobby Abreu in 2005, who won the Derby with a then-record 41 homers, including a then-record 24 in the first round. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. broke the first-round record in 2019 with 29 home runs.

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Kyle Schwarber’s odds sit at +330, which is the second best odds in the derby. Like Alonso, he also has a swing designed to leverage his mass and get the ball in the air. He is favored (-180 on DraftKings) to beat Jose Ramirez in the first round. From there, he would face the winner of Kyle Schwarber/Albert Pujols. More important, Soto is on the opposite side of the bracket of Pete Alonso.

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